2023 Prospect Rankings

MLB out with a new top 30 headed by Melton.

OF covers spots 1, 2, 3, 4, 13, 14, 15, 17, 18, 19, 29, so it still seems like a strength.

A lot of those lower ranked guys (Baez, in particular) are going to make a huge jump when the off-season rerankings come out.

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Given how many people reference MLB’s rankings, I really wish they’d put more resources into keeping them updated. Baez at 18 doesn’t reflect reality, not because Callis currently thinks there are 17 guys ahead of him, but because they just don’t update their rankings over the season except to bump guys up when others graduate or get traded. Rankings like Leon at 3 or Perez at 11 (he just got DFA’d!) in August of 2023 are embarrassing.

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Many services will come out with post draft/deadline rankings too.

I am looking forward to those this month.

This further amplifies those posting here the last few days about the fucking prospect rankings not really mattering all that much when it comes to deadline deals. What matters is the opinion of the clubs you are trying to make a trade with and you can be certain that their internal rankings are indeed up to date.

Not sure if I should post here or in the trade deadline thread, but there was also a 5 min session ran on MLB tonight with Dan O’Dowd outlining numbers regarding prospects acquired at the deadline over past 5 seasons or so and what kind of impact was made by them at the MLB level. I don’t remember specifics, but the numbers were not good in terms of percentages leading to contributors at the MLB level. Even lower when looking at above average contributions by the same prospect pool at the MLB level.

Something similar to this?

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Not similar. Exactly! Thanks.

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How can Cabrera be in two places at once?

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Multiverse

It’s not like teams are trading their “can’t miss” prospects. Most prospects traded at the deadline are guys whose avenue to the big club is blocked by established major leaguers and/or are a few years away from any possible impact.

There are very, very few “can’t miss” prospects

Luhnow went 1 for 2 when he declared Tucker and Whitley were “untouchables”

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Poster asked if Matthews could replace Bregman at 3B in 2025. " my friend" answers:

Matthews was drafted in part because he is expected to stay up the middle at SS, 2nd or CF. That and his athleticism are why Brown made the executive decision to take him. So he isn’t likely to play 3rd. Also, I would be shocked if Matthews has a perfectly linear track to the big leagues. I expect some struggles in AA, AAA and the big leagues. I expect him to likely repeat a level as well.

If you want a third baseman, then Zach Dezenzo is likely your man. He has the potential to be a good defensive 3rd baseman with power and the ability to walk.

Imagine a Matt Chapman, with not as good a glove and possibly a little better batting average and contact rate.

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“My friend” about Melton:

A lot of talent - he is a very good athlete. Another Astros player with some concerns over contact rates.

Good body at 6’3" and about 210 - already has plus power and loves to run, very good at stealing bases (something else Brown wisely has been pushing).

He is about to turn 23, they really need to get him into AA to see how he does - he is a little old for his level.

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Absolutely agree – and his skills seem to be able to play up; not a lot of adjustment time when he moves to the next level.

Sounds like a potentiall first baseman.

Not as good a glove as Matt Chapman doesn’t necessarily mean it’s a bad glove.

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I know. Bagwell didn’t have as good of a glove as Caminiti and it worked out okay.

Matthews, a play at SS:

https://twitter.com/WoodpeckersNC/status/1687253582410571777

Dude’s got an arm.

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