I don’t really know what things cost or don’t cost, but those didn’t seem like unreasonable prices to me for any of those things, so I went through and checked them on the HEB website and through the Fed’s economic research website, Fred. Fred is really fascinating.
Just saying orange juice is extremely unhelpful. Frozen? Fresh squeezed? Minute Maid? Whatever, that’s a gallon of juice, which is a boatload of juice. Usually people are talking about frozen concentrate when they’re talking about commodity prices. A plain ol gallon Hill Country Fare is $6.22. A can of 12 oz frozen, which makes 60 oz. of juice is $2.85. So yeah, that’s at least in the ballpark. Interestingly, purchase of orange juice as a commodity has fallen through the floor, as has production. People just don’t buy large amounts of orange juice, and production is at its lowest levels since WWII.
I can’t remember the last time I bought orange juice.
Coffee, 12 oz? is that a common size? I can buy 13 oz of HEB classic roast for $4.14. The fed pegs a pound of coffee at $6.12, so I’ll leave you to your own math, maths for Limey, to get back to 12 oz.
20 oz of large white enriched bread at HEB is $2.27. According to the Federal Reserve the average price in April 2020 was about $1.37, and today is about $2.04, so those are pretty realistic numbers.
Eggs have seen huge volatility over the last 4 years, after 40 years of relative stability. In January 2023 they had shot from $1.46 in January 2020 to $4.82. by January 2024 they had settled back to $2.52. A lot of foods did the post 2020 supply chain jump, and you see the same thing in chicken breasts. In Jan. 2020 a pound of boneless skinless breasts were $3.05. By Sept. 2022 they were $4.74. They’re now back down to 4.10.
A pound of rice in Jan. 2020 was $.71. Today it’s $.99. Interestingly, the huge increase in rice prices came in September 2008, when rice shot from $.54 in Nov. 2007 to $.85, and then never came back down.
The last thing I checked was butter and milk. Milk hit a 20-year low in July 2018 of $2.83. Before that the previous high had been July 2008 when it was $3.77. In November 2023 it climbed to a high of $4.21. It’s since fallen to $3.94. In Jan. 2020 it was $3.25.
As of January 2024 the cost of a pound of butter was $4.65. In January 2020 it was $3.86. Interestingly, the recent low point for butter came in Nov. 2020.
The fed seems to have stopped tracking bologna in 2019, but the price then was $2.79. Today I can buy a pound of Oscar Meyer at HEB for $2.98. As for the price of bologna in untested posts about Bidenomics, priceless.
I’m now hungry. Thanks a lot, Biden.