In the bill the treasury department has 10 business days to implement procedures and requirements for the large corporate bailouts, but for small businesses and municipalities the treasury department is only instructed to “endeavor to seek the implementation of” such procedures, with no deadline.
Small wonder that the curve only started to bend lower than the “every 2 days” line once shelter-in-place orders started being issued all over the place.
Anyone know what the arc look like if you take NY out of the mix? They are such a large portion of this population (though the rest of us are catching up). Not sure it changes any thing but I am curious.
We don’t have the worse trajectory. A lot of people are being tested with mild cases that will recover fine. That’s what happens when you increase testing. The numbers that matter are related to the regional treatment capacity. As long as those stay above the number of severe cases then we have “flattened the curve” sufficiently.
So everyone else is only counting severe cases? Everyone else has 100% testing?
I am sure it’s not accurate to the individual patient, but the point of the graph is not to show severity or hospitalizations, it’s to show the infection trend. The US’ trend is steeper than anyone else’s at this point save Turkey, who may yet go either way.
In this situation, it doesn’t matter if we are the worst, or second worst or 10th worst. It’s that we are worse than China and Italy, who took extreme steps to flatten their curves. We aren’t doing those things, so we will continue to soar where China and Italy both started to flatten out long before we reached where they were the those measures were implemented.
Every point on those curves represents something different. It’s nonsense to try and compare them that way. No country is capturing it accurately and it will take years to figure out what the actual infection rates were. Even death rates are complicated by lots of things.
Trump backing off “reopening” the country. Says it’s the decision is based on science - it is - but WH insiders say it’s because he saw body bags coming out of a Queens hospital, and one of his good friends is in a coma with the disease.
I hope this sticks because - while he hasn’t shut anything down so he can’t open anything up - he can put pressure on local leaders and misinform the public creating dangerous confusion.
Meanwhile, how the White House isn’t a plague pit by now is beyond me.
Texas - and specifically Houston and Dallas - are being identified as likely venue for the second wave of infections. Stay home; stay safe, people.
The Trib has this page for Texas updates. Texas added nearly 500 new cases yesterday, but is still relatively quiet given the size of the population. Our square footage likely being the savior here - and the actions of mayors and county judges to order shelter in place while I’m not aware that Abbot has made any statewide order.
On the population density thing, it’s notable that New York is off the charts, while the states with the fewest cases are Wyoming, the Dakotas, Alaska, Nebraska and West Virginia (the latter not being spacious, but a place where nobody has to leave home to get laid).
New York is likely to pass the grim milestone of 1,000 deaths today; its sitting at 965 as of yesterday and adding +/- 100 new fatalities a day. The awful video of a forklift loading bodies into a truck on the street is an image that will sit for a while. The virus’ halo is starting to hit hard in neighboring states like New Jersey and Connecticut, who are spiking. Florida, Illinois and Michigan are also seeing the outbreak accelerate.
Italy hitting some grim milestones: over 100,000 cases and over 11,500 deaths. They did, however, record their lowest number of new cases in the last 13 days, so their curve flattening and maybe even starting to turn the other way.
Trump just walked out to the podium in the Rose Garden and took credit for “saving 1 million lives” by doing the thing - extending distancing protocols - that he wanted to abandon just a few days ago.
If you say you’re going to do something really bad/unpopular, then walk it back and act like a hero for not doing what you initially said, our society is dumb enough to reward you for it.
Examples:
Jim Rome: “I’m thinking about going to satellite radio”
Listeners: “Fuck you!”
Jim Rome: “Just kidding, I’m staying on terrestrial radio”
Listeners: “Yay! You’re the best!”
Whataburger: “We’re getting rid of the A1 Thick-and-Hearty Burger forever”
Fat people: “Fuck you!”
Whataburger: “Just kidding, we’re keeping it”
Fat people: “Yay! You’re the best!”
Does anyone think that Ronco InstaVirus Tester actually works? I took one look at it and got Elizabeth Holmes flashbacks.
I mean, I truly, deeply, honestly hope it works. But I have a terrible dread that countless people will be given the all clear when they’re not, and then set about unknowingly infecting countless others who will then get a Ronco virus test…
It looked like a kids toy car garage and came in an overly designed box that you would doubt the contents of if you saw it on the impulse aisle by the checkout at GardenRidge.
In Korea the most densely populated city Seoul was like a fortress and not hit that bad while the smaller city of Daegu (about 3 million people) and the surrounding province which is more rural was the hardest hit. I was expecting Seoul to be overrun with 10 million people in the city and over 20 million in the metropolitan area but we held strong here.