Red Sox at Astros, 8/21/23

On August 1, the FanGraphs had the Mariners at a 14.8% chance to make the postseason. Today, that stands at 65.8%.

I have the Mariners at a 100% opportunity to kiss my ass.

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Agree. I still look though. Can’t help myself.

They have a better chance the Astros at this point.

No they don’t, settle down, Beavis

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How do you figure? They’re basically tied in the standings and the Mariners own the tie breaker. Just by math the Mariners are in a better spot, without even getting into who’s playing their best ball down the stretch or the fact that the Astros are 2-8 vs them, have lost 8 of the last 9, have lost all three series, and play the remaining one in Seattle. By what objective measure do you think the Astros have a better chance at finishing higher?

Still plenty of baseball to be played. We have 3 vs Arlington and 3 vs Seattle. Let Seattle and Arlington beat up on each other. That will tell who Houston needs to worry about the most. Of course that’s only if Houston plays well in September.

By height.

Jose Altuve does not find this amusing.

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Of course there’s still plenty left. I’m not suggesting the Astros give up. I’m just saying that the Mariners are in a better spot than the Astros are right now.

The things you can not measure objectively give me hope. Mostly something like the Astros experience of having been there multiple times and Seattle having not. Also, the fact that Scott Servais is their manager and they are the Mariners. I believe the intangibles favor the Astros until proven otherwise by an end result.

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The Mariners would be in a better spot than the Astros if the Mariners were the Astros and the Astros were the Mariners. But they’re not, so they aren’t.

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