COVID-19

I hate seeing these stories.

I hope Ynez is OK.

Sadly, the last two times I was at Long Ash, Ynez was nowhere to be seen. I hope she is OK also, wherever she is. I did order a couple of bundles of smokes from them just two weeks ago though, so they are at least still operating on mail order. Hopefully, they can survive this long-term.

I also hate to see La Tropicana close. I always preferred other restaurants in the area, but it’s been part of the community for nearly 60 years. Sad to see them go, and hopefully someone can come in and pick it back up.

As long as La Teresita on Columbus makes it I’ll be OK. If they go under I’m going to be seriously pissed.

You know, I’ve never eaten at La Teresita. I’m mostly an “east of the river” guy, though I’ve been to the Florida Bakery many times, which is practically next door. I do need to check it out though. I’m hoping to be back again later this summer. We’ll see what Covid has in store though.

The cafe portion of the setup is highly recommended. Ty hipped me to it, of course, years ago.

Meanwhile back at the plague:

The anticipated upturn following re-opening appears to have started. The moving average for daily cases nationally has taken a definite upward trend. Texas and California are leading the way as California’s upward trend continues and Texas’ numbers have formed a bottom and have begun an upward trend.

Fatalities have gone rather flat after a long slow decline. We may expect some increase in the second half of June. By July we may be back to 3,000 fatalities per day. Of course, the massive protest gatherings of the past week may cause a more extreme rise.

Internationally, Brazil is under an onslaught from the virus. Hopes for some seasonality to the virus’ spread are dying along with about 1,200 Brazilians per day. India, with the potential to eclipse even the U.S. in cases, has moved up to #7, and will probably eclipse Italy, Spain, and the U.K. soon.

As far as I know, La T is still doing business. Their take-out has always been robust so I’m sure they still did big business during the lockdown. The problem with La Trop is that they were breakfast and lunch only in a primarily entertainment district so their clientele were older regulars who stayed home in droves. Last I was there I was the youngest in the place except for the employees. I’m 57.

We went there when we went to fish. I don’t remember the food much, but the rooms were memorable.

10% of Texas prison population has tested positive for COVID-19, as well as 5% of the prison staff. Texas’ outbreak is growing, but Abbott says it is mostly prisons, nursing homes and meat-packing plants. I hope he realizes that those are people we’re counting, not buildings.

In reality, Texas’ outbreak is now significantly worse than it’s ever been; on Tuesday we set a record for new cases - 1,885 - and we are averaging 1,500 news cases a day statewide. Yet Phase 3 of re-opening presses on; as of yesterday indoor business can operate at a 50% capacity with no limit applying to outdoor businesses.

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The Memorial day bump in cases that many expected has arrived, but not everywhere. Texas’ case load is rising along with Florida and California. The NE hotspot continues to cool as NY, NJ, CT, RI and MA continue to see their case load decrease. Nationally, daily cases seem to be bottoming out at just under 20,000 per day and fatalities at about 1000 per day.

Expect increases but maybe not at the same rate as March and April as many people are wearing masks and physical mobility is still not at pre-plague levels. Here in Orange County, CA hospitalizations have been on a steady rise. Trump-humping nutbags have driven the County Health Chief from her job by continuous harassment at her home and multiple death threats against her and her family. Her offense was having the temerity to suggest masks be required in public, indoor spaces.

In addition, the number of COVID-19 deaths in Mexico is really rising rapidly and many people are coming to California hospitals for treatment.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/07/us/coronavirus-border-mexico-california-el-centro.html

Stand down, folks. Trump says the virus is “largely over.” We are saved!

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That’s the best news EVER!

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Much as Nolan Ryan’s career was largely over when he arrived in Houston

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Texas topped 2,000 new cases in a single day yesterday for the first time. When I say “topped”, I mean blew right through it to 2,500 new cases. In one day.

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There are some ugly trends in some big states. Florida has already set a new daily record today and California has had a relentless increase, although, deaths have remained fairly constant through the long statewide increase. This suggests, at least for California, some of the increase in cases is due to an increase in testing. California is now near the national average on testing and two months ago was among the worst. I expect fatalities in California to increase as ICUs in LA and Orange County fill up.

The widespread use of masks during the outdoor demonstrations may mitigate some of the spread from congregating. The increases we are seeing are too early to attribute to the demonstrations and are almost certainly due to the premature reopening in these states. Further increases in cases and subsequent fatalities are almost certain to happen in any event.

It will be a long, hot summer in more ways than one.

Arizona - which opened 2 weeks earlier than planned and immediately after a visit to the Governor by Trump - is exploding with the virus.

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21 states have growing outbreaks, most dramatically so.

One of the major disservices Trump has committed is turning the wearing of masks into a political issue. Such a fucking hypocrite; he requires his staff to wear them in the WH and around him. He, of course, is too macho to wear one, and no doubt countless lemmings follow and imitate his refusal.

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I fully appreciate the Trump administration’s literally unlimited capacity for cruelty and brutal stupidity, but even so, it absolutely blows my mind that they have concluded that the best way for them to deal with this crisis is simply to ignore it.

And I also understand that Republicans seek political power in order to emasculate the federal government and that they have zero interest in the actual work of governing and that their only true policy interests amount to whatever their donor class demands - tax breaks for the wealthiest, extreme deregulation, etc. So I understand why they are uniquely poorly positioned to respond to a crisis like this. But at some point surely someone in the administration has to ask himself, herself, if we aren’t going to use the tools of the federal government to address an ongoing national health crisis (other than to try to inflate the stock market), what exactly is the point of arranging ourselves into a nation in the way that we have?

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