How have the Rangers done recently?
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Not saying the Astros should not sign Correa, I think they should. Not saying they can’t or shouldn’t go to 8 or 9 years, they probably could.
But if you walked into a room of guys punching themselves in the dick over and over, I mean really getting after it… would you join in or close the door and not come back?
Just because the Rangers are dumb enough to give Semien 7 years, or the Mets are apparently planning on 42 million per for 3 or 4 years for Scherzer, doesn’t make it a good idea.
To be clear
I’m not saying the team should offer 10 years to Correa.
I’m saying the team should acknowledge that not offering 10 years means there is no chance
Therefore stop trying to sell the fans that they want him or that they are trying
Shrug your shoulders let him walk and take that money to extend Kyle Tucker and Yordan Alvarez,
I think the 5 yr/$100 mil model buying out arbitration years and 2 years of free agency works great.
Then focus on extending players that perform as they become arbitration eligible over the next several years
That way, at least players stay 8 years instead of 6.
You don’t know that it’s 10 years minimum until somebody actually offers 10 years. Not making a good 6, 7 or 8 year offer because you think he’s gonna turn down anything less than 10 would be dumb. If you don’t make your best offer and he ends up having to settle for a 7 years deal then you just fucked yourself. Which player is accepting a 5/100 deal? Which player? Alvarez and Tucker certainly are not. The number would need to be higher
You don’t know Alvarez and/or Tucker won’t take 5/$100 mil
Alex Bregman did after a better year than either of them has had
But the amount is not the point. Extending players before other teams can bid against you so you keep your stars longer is the point.
Just like I don’t know it’s 10 years minimum.
But if Semien got 7 how is Correa who is 4 years younger NOT getting 10? Those 3 years would all be prime years.
Theoretically Correa ages 27-36 should be much more productive and less risk per year than Semien ages 31-37.
The owner lockout of players on December 1 is confusing things right now. Non-tendered free agents can sign now, and have financial reasons to do so, but the tender deadline isn’t until November 30. As I understand it, tendered players can’t sign with other teams before the lockout, and could be pressured to accept lesser deals in the rush to clean things up after the lockout. I’m not sure if there are any non-tendered players that the Astros will be interested in, but we won’t know that until the 30th. I’m not sure there’s any reason to rush to sign tendered players, since waiting seems to be to the owners’ benefit.
The pending lockout is the owners’ best bargaining chip right now. They want to force the action before they risk a player strike and start losing money. This will facilitate some, mostly mid/lower-tier, free agents to sign in the next day or so, but the big-money guys, like Correa, likely won’t sweat it. They know come February the owners will get antsy and start throwing money around like a sailor on shore leave.
Seager to Texas, 10/$325M. Jesus.
Fuuuuck. Well that sets the Correa market
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I should have been a SS.
And right handed.
And not terrible at baseball.
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The Rangers aren’t going to have enough money left for a travel budget. It’s hard to make the postseason if you have to forfeit all of your away games.
Rangers following the Angels model of “who needs pitching?”
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One thing’s clear, with A’s ownership lighting their franchise on fire and the Astros no longer looking like an unstoppable juggernaut, the rest of the division smells blood. I wish them all years of very expensive failure.
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1 through 26, I still take the Astros roster over any other one in the AL West.
And I still think the Rangers are last ( until Oakland trades away their big 5)
They have a ton of work to do with their pitching staff if they want to be contenders. I believe Jordan Lyles is their ace? I could be wrong on that since I could care less about the Rangers.
Rangers also reportedly signing Jon Gray (4 years, $56 million):
They gave a mediocre Rockies pitcher big money?
Hold me, I’m scared.
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I would take Jake Odorizzi over Gray. Jake probably won’t even be in our starting rotation.
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Meanwhile Crane missed the mark by $200M. He’s the Price is Right guy bidding $1 when the other contestants are actually close.
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…quite a bit higher. Over the same span of time Correa had 16% more plate appearances and put up about 60% more WAR. Correa is also five months younger.