Please don’t get me wrong. I would love to have him back. I also understand the risks involved - particularly limiting organizational flexibility with $90+ million annually tied up in Altuve, Bregman. Brantley and McCullers. The injury risk is significant. $120 million for 5 players is significant. On the flip side - starting rotation of Urguidy, Valdez, Javier plus future closer in Paredes makes for budget flexibility - as does Tucker, Alvarez and Straw/Leon.
It’s pretty certain to me. If he’s asking for something nuts like 10/$300MM, I say “good luck with that”.
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I would be willing to bet that’s his number exactly.
Correa will get nowhere near $300M and I’d be willing to bet he realizes that, though he certainly won’t admit it. By most of the rankings I’ve seen, he’s behind Lindor, Seager and Story and some even have him behind Baez. Lindor get his $300 plus. Seager and Story get paid and by that time what teams are left to pay Baez and Correa? The options are limited. Correa is worth somewhere in the $200-225 range but I doubt he gets more than that. The question is do the Astros want to pay that much?
You’re probably right. I’d be willing to do 7/$175MM…MAYBE 8/$200MM, then it’s “good luck, Carlos”. I would not give him more than 8 years years, and I would not pay him more than $25MM/year.
I agree HH. I’d offer him 8 @ $200 and tell him take it or leave. And if he turns it down and has another injury riddled season the dollars and years go down or he can go elsewhere.
A team would be crazy to give him that amount ($300 million). He hasn’t exactly lit it up stat wise for several years now. He has had good streaks in the playoffs but that does not earn him $30 million a year for the next 10 years in my opinion. We played a great portion of '19 without him and 53 games without him in '17. I’m with HH. I would offer him 7/$175MM and tell him to take it or leave it. If he does not sign, I would then focus on finding more pitching next offseason.
My guess: 7 for $25 = $175 with a player option for 8 at $200.
That’s significantly less than Altuve or Bregman. I thought you were opposed to that?
Well Lindor signed for 341mil… we need to enjoy having Carlos here while we can because he is gone in the offseason
Sure looks that way.
Not me. But I can imagine that CC would be opposed to it. Particularly in light of Lindor signing. Though I struggle to understand how a $200 million deal vs a $300 million deal would impact my trips to the grocery store.
Well, the difference between $200MM and $300MM is pretty big. That’s not simply a difference in tax jurisdictions. But it’s also completely insane. If Correa wants Lindor money, see ya. He won’t be getting it from the Astros, Mets or Padres. So there’s at least 10% of the teams off his list.
I’m just baffled that Correa thinks he deserves more money than Altuve and Bregman. I would rather see him traded and get something than watch him walk in the off-season.
Age. Age is the biggest factor in total money of a contract. Correa will get a bigger deal than those two because he is younger than either at the time of the deal. His next contract will start at age 27, Bregman doesn’t start to get paid until 2023, he’ll be 29. Altuve’s latest deal kicked in last year, at age 30. Those 2 or 3 years in age equate to 3 or 4 years in deal length on the open market, which when talking about a star is 80-100 right there. Correa just watched Springer(who has also had injuries) sign a 6/150 deal at age 31, signing for less than that would be financial mismanagement to a high degree.
It’s not hard for me to imagine he can get Lindor money. I don’t hold it against the team not to offer him Lindor money though. I’ll miss him, he might win an MVP one day.
For different reasons, I think you can also strike Toronto and the Pirates off that list too.
If he didn’t have the “injured often” description attached to his profile, I think you would be correct for sure. As mentioned before, in the same number of years, Lindor has appeared in 173 more games with 927 more plate appearances, more HR, more runs scored, more RBI… than Correa That is why Lindor is a little more valuable.
What are you going to get for him this season that makes us a better team this season? Probably nothing. Our team is still damn good. Good enough to win the WS? Yes, I think it can be. You don’t have to have the best team on paper to win it and we don’t know what kind of injuries might pop up and hurt other teams along the way. So for me, no thanks on trading Correa.
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