Around the AL West 2023

Great minds and all. No surprise HH was a minute ahead of me.

So bottom line…Rangers need one win and they’re in. Astros need two wins and they’re in. Mariners need two wins and some help.

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My eyes glazed over several posts ago.

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Are you forgetting Toronto being in the WC mix?

Assuming that they’re in. Obviously if they get swept it changes the dynamic.

My recollection is that a four-way tie results in the Astros out.

If a four-way tie happens, the Mariners win the division because of their 14-12 mark over the Astros and Rangers. At that point, the Blue Jays would be out. The Astros would be the second Wild Card with a 12-8 record combined against Texas and Toronto. The Rangers get the last Wild Card by going 10-10 versus both. The Blue Jays went 5-9 versus the Astros and Rangers, so they would miss the playoffs.

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Whoa!

Math does come in handy! & Winning matchups matter.

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So you wouldn’t consider the games against the Mariners in that situation because they would be the division winner?

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The WC setup & the schedule are generating a lot of interest (& calculations) w/ 4 days left.

Correct.

First the tiebreaker for division is calculated then tiebreaker involving only teams remaining for the WC.

A 4 way tie will result in 3 AL West teams making the playoffs which I never saw happening before the season.

Correct. From MLB.com:

Note: If the three teams are tied for a division championship plus one Wild Card spot, then, once the above is used to determine the division champ, the remaining two teams revert to the two-team tiebreaker procedure to determine the Wild Card.

One way or another, win 2 games and we keep playing past Sunday. Let’s fucking do it

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I don’t think the Blue Jays figure into a 4-way tie. You settle the division among the three teams first. After that, you go to the Wild Card, at which point the Jays enter the chat.

“Fuck it, just win” isn’t only a competitive mindset; it’s my brain’s self-defense mechanism against math.

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Basically, the Astros need to not look at the scoreboard and take care of business.

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Easier than all this math is to just build a time machine, go back in time and frame Dusty for some crime so he gets fired early in the season, the Astros win half of the games he tank-commander’d into losses and this weekends’ games are spent resting the regulars and aligning the rotation for G1 of the division series.

Math is actually pretty big in baseball.

I understand. My interest in other broadcasts is strictly limited to assessing their ability as professional broadcasters and to get an insider view on the team they cover. I have no interest in their thoughts, good or bad, about the Astros. I used to listen to Scully because he was great, not to hear what he thought about the Astros. I grew up on Gene Elston and very few can measure up to his great game calling ability.

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Scully was GOAT. I spent a summer working in LA listening to him.