Check out Joe Smith’s analytics at Baseball Savant. Not one stat/number so far gives you hope. They need to release him or IL him. He’s either hurt or his career is over. Every pitch is 3+ mph slower with less movement and he is fooling no one. His expected numbers are some of the worst in baseball.
I’m not gonna say you’re wrong, he could be done, he could be hurt. But be careful trusting 21 numbers on baseball savant just because of how small the sample is. His spin rate on his 4seam is down by almost 200, that’s bad but his slider and sinker are right where they have been. The movement is about the same as before as well. It’s his location that seems to be the problem and you have to remember, he didn’t pitch at all last season, location could definitely be a result of rust, or he could be done. It’s still a little early to make that call. He’s definitely been bad though.
I haven’t counted his spin rate, but with my fairly keen eye, at least in my ever humble opinion, every pitch he’s throwing is finding the middle of the plate. Perhaps he’s just rusty, but he’s gotta fix that shit, pronto, or he’s toast. He can’t live where he’s living now, he doesn’t throw 100 mph.
Oh 100%, and he may very well be done or hurt. Just saying that by looking at the numbers his “stuff” isn’t much different that 2019. If his slider wasn’t breaking like normal AND he was finding the middle of the plate, I’d say stick a fork in him. I think it may be something mechanical and if it is I’m sure Strom will find it and fix it. One way or another I suspect we’ll find out real soon if it’s fixable.